1、華北電力大學碩士學位論文摘要本文站在出租人的角度，對電網項目融資租賃經營期的風險進行分析，識別出其中主要的風險因素。建立了風險評價的指標體系，并針對電網項目融資租賃的特點，通過分析電網項目融資租賃經營期的風險因素，分別建立了基于層次分析法和網絡分析法的風險模糊綜合評價模型，并對兩種模型進行了比較。隨后在假設電網項目融資租賃的廣泛開展的基礎上，建立了基于粗糙集和灰色關聯分析的風險評估模型。最后本文根據各種風險的特征，提出了應對各種風險的對

2、策。本論文的研究方法可供出租人在電網項目融資租賃進行風險評估及控制時參考，對在租賃公司也有一定的參考價值。關鍵詞:融資租賃，風險管理，電網項目，網絡分析法ABSTRACTThisPaperfirstlyanalysestheriskofgridProjeetfinaneialleasinginoPerationPeriodfromthePersPeetiveofthelessorandidentifiedthemainriskfaeto

3、rsinthatPeriod.Ariskevaluationindexsystemwasestablished，thentheauthorresPeetivelyevaluatestheriskofgridProjeetfinaneialleasinginoPerationPeriodusingfuzzyeomPrehensiveevaluationmodelbasedonAHPandANPmethodandeomParestheres

4、ults.ThenassumingthegridProjeetfinaneeleasingwaswidelyeondueted，riskeomPrehensiveevaluationmodelwasestablishedbasedonroughsetandgreyrelevanee.Finally，theauthorPutsfo附ardmeasurestodealwithvariousrisksinaeeordaneewiththeeh

5、araeteristiesofvariousrisks.TheresearehmethodofthisPaPereanProviderefereneeflessofgridProjeetfinaneingleaseinriskassessmentandeontrol，ithassomerefereneevalueftheleasingcomPany.YangWanqiang(managementseieneeandengineering

6、)DireetedbyProf.HuangWenjieKeywds:finaneialleasing，riskmanagement，gridProjeet，ANPmethod華北電力大學碩士學位論文4.2電網項目融資租賃經營期風險綜合評價模型.............……，............……184.2.1基于層次分析法的模糊綜合評價..........................................……194.

7、2.2應用實例...........................................................................……，.214.2.3基于ANP的模糊綜合評價方法..............................................……244.2.4結果比較..............................……，.....................

8、...................……364.2.5模糊評價.............................................................................……384.2.6基于粗糙集和灰色系統(tǒng)電網項目融資租賃經營期風險評價....……394.2.7評價方法比較..........................................................

9、............……50第五章風險控制.......................................................................................……515.1信用風險.....................................................................................……515.1.1承租人拖欠

10、或拒付租金風險.................................................……515.1.2承租人虛報信息風險............................................................……515.1.3承租人不按規(guī)定對設備維護風險..........................................……525.2環(huán)境風險..........

11、..................................................……，..................……525.2.1金融風險.............................................................................……525.2.2法律法規(guī)和稅率調整風險.......................................

12、..............……535.2.3電價調整風險......................................................................……535.2.4電力需求減小風險...............................................................……535.2.5不可抗力風險…，........................

13、..........................................……535.3技術風險...............................................................................……，..…54第六章結束語..........................................................................

14、..................……55參考文獻............……，...........................................……，................................……56致謝...............................................................................................